How the man who eradicated smallpox would have handled coronavirus

Whether we realize it or not, we have all been part of a grand experiment.  Never before have we had a national lockdown and mass quarantines of healthy people in response to a pandemic.  Not during the 1918 Spanish flu, the 1957 Asian flu, or the 1968/69 Hong Kong flu.  Even the concept of social distancing is a modern one.  We have implemented many of those things before to varying degrees, but never on a national scale.  The end result has had huge economic and social consequences.  

According to an article from the New York Times, it came about during the Bush Jr. administration.  Then-president George W. Bush wanted to ensure that the nation was better prepared for the next pandemic.  It was purposed in conjunction with the Defense Department that Americans should isolate themselves during the next outbreak.  Two government doctors, Richard Hatchett, an oncologist turned White House adviser, and Carter Mecher, a Department of Veterans Affairs physician, were tasked with setting up the National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza Writing and Implementation Team.

This is where it takes a strange turn.  A 2006 paper titled "Targeted Social Distancing Designs for Pandemic Influenza" was used in advocating for the lockdowns.  Its primary author was complex system analyst Robert J. Glass.  His 14-year-old daughter, Laura M. Glass, is also listed on the paper.  As it turns out, the paper was partly based on his daughter's high-school experiment.  Laura, with a little help from her dad, made a computer simulation of how people interact in social situations.  That's right: you can credit the lockdowns in part to a teen girl's science project.

This is where the renowned doctor and epidemiologist Donald Henderson comes in.  Dr. Henderson was involved in a 10-year international effort to eradicate smallpox throughout the world.  Smallpox is the first human disease ever to be eradicated.  Dr. Henderson passed away in 2016.  In 2006, he and three other professors from Johns Hopkins wrote a paper responding to the Glass paper.  As you might have guessed, they strongly disagreed with Robert Glass.  They believed that such extreme measures would have severe social and economic consequences.  The following mitigation measures are how Dr. Henderson believed that a pandemic or epidemic should be handled:

-Dr. Henderson was a big proponent of vaccinations and believed that working on a vaccine for the virus was paramount.

-Pre-planning and preparation are essential.  A Regional Health Care Operations Committee should be established to assure collaboration and cooperation across the community (hospitals, medical care providers, Red Cross, law enforcement, media, and others.)

-Those who are sick should be isolated at their home or in the hospital, but everyone else should be encouraged to come to work so that essential services can be sustained.

-It might be necessary for schools in many communities to be closed 10–14 days at the beginning of an epidemic.  However, longer periods in hopes of mitigating the epidemic among students would not be warranted.

-Everyone should be encouraged to practice good hygiene.  That includes hand-washing and covering the mouth when coughing or sneezing.

-Canceling or postponing meetings or events involving large numbers would be helpful in mitigating the effects of an epidemic.  However, canceling or postponing large gatherings would not likely have any significant effect.

-There is no basis for recommending quarantines either of groups or of individuals.  Such measures would have possible adverse consequences, such as loss of public trust in government, and would stigmatize those quarantined.

-Screening passengers at borders or closing air or rail hubs is not effective and not recommended.

-Masks should be worn primarily by those who work in hospitals.  Studies have shown that surgical masks do little because the pores in the mask become blocked by moisture from breathing, and the airstream simply diverts around the mask.  There are few data available for N95 or surgical masks outside a health care setting, and N95 masks need to be fit-tested to be effective.

In short, Henderson's strategy was to tough it out.  Let the pandemic burn itself out, treat the sick, and work on developing a vaccine as quickly as possible.  Henderson believed that the best response to a pandemic is to let society function as normal.  Strong political and public health reassurance is also necessary to ensure that the needed medical care services are provided when needed.  If either is seen to be less than optimal, then a manageable epidemic could move toward catastrophe.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/06/6_29_2020_1_58.html

Views: 32

Reply to This

Replies to This Discussion

I don’t know what the answer is, but common sense tells me we didn’t do it right with this one. 

This was not handled right from the start! The lockdown has had far worse consequences than had we not locked down the entire country. The left has used this to take away our freedoms, and, they are loving this.

RSS

Attention:

 

 

Please view our mission, policy, and legal disclaimer to learn about us by visiting the main menu.  Thank you.

PLEASE SIGN THE PETITION!

BRING BACK #HUAC

http://bit.ly/2mqIVmH 

CONTACT CONGRESS!

Let your voice be counted!

House:  http://1.usa.gov/mHZjgo

Senate:  http://1.usa.gov/3UAs

 

 

PLEASE PRAY FOR OUR NATION.

 

 

national debt

Founders' Corner

Latest Activity

Watchman replied to Watchman's discussion Massive military presence in D.C.
"FYI there is still a military presence in D.C. complete with barbed wire fence. The question is…"
Feb 21
Jodi180 replied to Jodi180's discussion Stolen Election? If So, Can It Be "Unstolen"?
"I believe this shows that We The Conservatives have truly lost our vote.  We, most likely,…"
Feb 6
Patriot2Opine replied to Ruthann's discussion The Unsinkable Ship Titanic AMERICA is Sinking!
"So true. Hypocrisy, lies, open hostility and where does it take us? Just a little historical note…"
Jan 21
Duke replied to Ruthann's discussion The Unsinkable Ship Titanic AMERICA is Sinking!
"We got thru Barkey boy, we can get thru Obiden and knee pads Harris. It's going to be hard to…"
Jan 20
Jodi180 replied to Ruthann's discussion The Unsinkable Ship Titanic AMERICA is Sinking!
"It's maddening, Ruthann...and frightening. It's really hard to realize that the left…"
Jan 20
Watchman posted a blog post

2020 Election Voter Fraud Questions

How do I know the 2020 election was stolen? Simply because the Democrats act like it:You don't try…See More
Jan 19
Patriot2Opine posted a blog post

Think Critically

The post that I wrote in 2017 titled “Shame Lost” almost seems prophetic today. Nearly four years…See More
Jan 19
Patriot2Opine replied to Watchman's discussion Massive military presence in D.C.
"It has been a wild ride in the last twelve years. I would not have believed that we could fall so…"
Jan 19
Duke replied to Watchman's discussion Massive military presence in D.C.
"    IMHO...Hopefully they are there to remove all the evil democrat traitors who have put…"
Jan 16
Watchman posted a photo

Obama vs Trump vs Biden

Does this make sense?
Jan 15
Watchman posted a discussion

Massive military prescence in D.C.

Question: why is there such a massive military buildup in D.C. for a virtual inauguration that is…See More
Jan 15
Ruthann posted a discussion

The Unsinkable Ship Titanic AMERICA is Sinking!

I received this last night from a friend. Please read it, and maybe forward it to your…See More
Jan 9
Watchman replied to Jodi180's discussion Stolen Election? If So, Can It Be "Unstolen"?
"Exactly Jodi. It's why the Media and Big Tech coronated Biden as the winner as soon as…"
Jan 9
Jodi180 replied to Jodi180's discussion Stolen Election? If So, Can It Be "Unstolen"?
"You might be right that Trump isn't going to go quietly.  I believe that's why…"
Jan 9
Jerseygal replied to Jodi180's discussion Stolen Election? If So, Can It Be "Unstolen"?
"America WILL survive this.  I don’t know how, but as you said, God is working."
Jan 9
Watchman replied to Jodi180's discussion Stolen Election? If So, Can It Be "Unstolen"?
"Not unless he does something radical, which I wouldn't rule out. He has exhausted all legal…"
Jan 9

© 2021   Fundamental Refounding.   Powered by

Badges  |  Report an Issue  |  Terms of Service