How the man who eradicated smallpox would have handled coronavirus

Whether we realize it or not, we have all been part of a grand experiment.  Never before have we had a national lockdown and mass quarantines of healthy people in response to a pandemic.  Not during the 1918 Spanish flu, the 1957 Asian flu, or the 1968/69 Hong Kong flu.  Even the concept of social distancing is a modern one.  We have implemented many of those things before to varying degrees, but never on a national scale.  The end result has had huge economic and social consequences.  

According to an article from the New York Times, it came about during the Bush Jr. administration.  Then-president George W. Bush wanted to ensure that the nation was better prepared for the next pandemic.  It was purposed in conjunction with the Defense Department that Americans should isolate themselves during the next outbreak.  Two government doctors, Richard Hatchett, an oncologist turned White House adviser, and Carter Mecher, a Department of Veterans Affairs physician, were tasked with setting up the National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza Writing and Implementation Team.

This is where it takes a strange turn.  A 2006 paper titled "Targeted Social Distancing Designs for Pandemic Influenza" was used in advocating for the lockdowns.  Its primary author was complex system analyst Robert J. Glass.  His 14-year-old daughter, Laura M. Glass, is also listed on the paper.  As it turns out, the paper was partly based on his daughter's high-school experiment.  Laura, with a little help from her dad, made a computer simulation of how people interact in social situations.  That's right: you can credit the lockdowns in part to a teen girl's science project.

This is where the renowned doctor and epidemiologist Donald Henderson comes in.  Dr. Henderson was involved in a 10-year international effort to eradicate smallpox throughout the world.  Smallpox is the first human disease ever to be eradicated.  Dr. Henderson passed away in 2016.  In 2006, he and three other professors from Johns Hopkins wrote a paper responding to the Glass paper.  As you might have guessed, they strongly disagreed with Robert Glass.  They believed that such extreme measures would have severe social and economic consequences.  The following mitigation measures are how Dr. Henderson believed that a pandemic or epidemic should be handled:

-Dr. Henderson was a big proponent of vaccinations and believed that working on a vaccine for the virus was paramount.

-Pre-planning and preparation are essential.  A Regional Health Care Operations Committee should be established to assure collaboration and cooperation across the community (hospitals, medical care providers, Red Cross, law enforcement, media, and others.)

-Those who are sick should be isolated at their home or in the hospital, but everyone else should be encouraged to come to work so that essential services can be sustained.

-It might be necessary for schools in many communities to be closed 10–14 days at the beginning of an epidemic.  However, longer periods in hopes of mitigating the epidemic among students would not be warranted.

-Everyone should be encouraged to practice good hygiene.  That includes hand-washing and covering the mouth when coughing or sneezing.

-Canceling or postponing meetings or events involving large numbers would be helpful in mitigating the effects of an epidemic.  However, canceling or postponing large gatherings would not likely have any significant effect.

-There is no basis for recommending quarantines either of groups or of individuals.  Such measures would have possible adverse consequences, such as loss of public trust in government, and would stigmatize those quarantined.

-Screening passengers at borders or closing air or rail hubs is not effective and not recommended.

-Masks should be worn primarily by those who work in hospitals.  Studies have shown that surgical masks do little because the pores in the mask become blocked by moisture from breathing, and the airstream simply diverts around the mask.  There are few data available for N95 or surgical masks outside a health care setting, and N95 masks need to be fit-tested to be effective.

In short, Henderson's strategy was to tough it out.  Let the pandemic burn itself out, treat the sick, and work on developing a vaccine as quickly as possible.  Henderson believed that the best response to a pandemic is to let society function as normal.  Strong political and public health reassurance is also necessary to ensure that the needed medical care services are provided when needed.  If either is seen to be less than optimal, then a manageable epidemic could move toward catastrophe.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/06/6_29_2020_1_58.html

Views: 20

Reply to This

Replies to This Discussion

I don’t know what the answer is, but common sense tells me we didn’t do it right with this one. 

This was not handled right from the start! The lockdown has had far worse consequences than had we not locked down the entire country. The left has used this to take away our freedoms, and, they are loving this.

RSS

Attention:

 

 

Please view our mission, policy, and legal disclaimer to learn about us by visiting the main menu.  Thank you.

PLEASE SIGN THE PETITION!

BRING BACK #HUAC

http://bit.ly/2mqIVmH 

CONTACT CONGRESS!

Let your voice be counted!

House:  http://1.usa.gov/mHZjgo

Senate:  http://1.usa.gov/3UAs

 

 

PLEASE PRAY FOR OUR NATION.

 

 

national debt

Founders' Corner

Latest Activity

Jerome replied to Fundamental Refounding's discussion Wed Tids 7/29/20 TOP TID We're Seeing the Death Rattle of the Revolution, Not Its Birth
"I agree with much of this post.  However, the title troubles me. "This is the Death…"
Jul 30
Robin replied to Jodi180's discussion STOP THE COVID-19 TRACE ACT H.R. 6666 TELL TRUMP TO VETO IT
"EXCLUSIVE: Bill Gates Negotiated $100 Billion Contact Tracing Deal With Democratic Congressman…"
Jul 29
Robin replied to Robin's discussion White House Puts Out Statement Going After Fauci’s Credibility
"EXCLUSIVE: Bill Gates Negotiated $100 Billion Contact Tracing Deal With Democratic Congressman…"
Jul 29
Robin replied to Doug Fox's discussion Traitor's Justice
"Federal judge orders secret Ghislaine Maxwell documents to begin being unsealed A federal judge on…"
Jul 29
Robin posted a discussion

Justice Department.. Operation Legend Expanded to Cleveland, Detroit, and Milwaukee

Law and Order President!Department of Justice Office of Public Affairs FOR IMMEDIATE…See More
Jul 29
Fundamental Refounding posted discussions
Jul 29
Jodi180 replied to Jodi180's discussion STOP THE COVID-19 TRACE ACT H.R. 6666 TELL TRUMP TO VETO IT
"Family Under House Arrest After Testing Positive for COVID-19 I just recently received news of a…"
Jul 24
Robin replied to Doug Fox's discussion Traitor's Justice
"VIDEO Karli Q Medium r @KarluskaP Central Casting featuring John Durham JR. ?…"
Jul 16
Robin replied to Doug Fox's discussion Traitor's Justice
"Lots getting ready to come out! Antonio Sabáto Jr @AntonioSabatoJr The truth of the…"
Jul 16
Fundamental Refounding replied to Jodi180's discussion No One's Coming to Save America...We Must Save Ourselves
"America is awake! We have to make sure Trump wins or it is over. Biden gets crazier by the day.…"
Jul 16
Fundamental Refounding replied to Watchman's discussion How the man who eradicated smallpox would have handled coronavirus
"I agree with JG. This was not handled right from the start! The lockdown has had far worse…"
Jul 16
Fundamental Refounding posted a discussion

Trump Promises Announcement Next Week on Democrat-Run Cities: 'We're Going to Straighten Things Out'

(CNSNews.com) - When it comes to crime, some of America's Democrat-run cities are "out of control,"…See More
Jul 16
Robin replied to Robin's discussion White House Puts Out Statement Going After Fauci’s Credibility
"I agree Watchman! He in so deep with Gates, it's disgusting."
Jul 16
Watchman replied to Robin's discussion White House Puts Out Statement Going After Fauci’s Credibility
"I never liked Fauci from the beginning. There was something about him that rubbed me the wrong way."
Jul 12
Robin posted a discussion

White House Puts Out Statement Going After Fauci’s Credibility

The only reason Fauci was on this from the beginning is, he is head of the NIH! They had to have…See More
Jul 12
Jerseygal liked Jodi180's discussion No One's Coming to Save America...We Must Save Ourselves
Jul 12

© 2020   Fundamental Refounding.   Powered by

Badges  |  Report an Issue  |  Terms of Service